The puck drops late Wednesday night for the gold medal game everyone expected. It's the U.S. women versus Canada in a rematch of their epic 2014 gold medal game, won 3-2 in overtime by Canada. Team Canada goes for its fifth straight gold at 10:45 p.m. ET.

Despite Canada's 2-1 preliminary-round win over the U.S., sportsbooks are listing the Americans as the favorites. BetDSI has Team USA at -139, meaning you'd risk $139 to win $100. Canada is a +115 underdog, so you'd get $115 for every $100 wagered.

The over-under on goals is 4.5.

Before you bet this must-see matchup, you have to see David Kelly's recommendation.

A Toronto-born hockey analyst with multiple advanced degrees, Kelly is on a sick 39-10 run on his NHL picks for SportsLine. Now he's turned his attention to Pyeongchang 2018 and released picks for the women's gold-medal game. Kelly knows Olympic hockey, too: on Tuesday he told readers to bet the Czech Republic to eliminate the U.S. men; Kelly was spot-on.

Kelly knows Canada has had the U.S. women's number, winning the preliminary-round matchup despite being outshot 2-to-1. That marked Canada's fifth straight win over the Americans.

Kelly also knows this will be an extremely physical game and that the U.S. must stay out of the penalty box to win.

We can tell you Kelly is going Over 4.5 goals, saying the 2-1 score in the first meeting was misleading given the scoring chances, but his stronger pick is on the side. You can only see it over at SportsLine.

Will Canada crush Team USA's dreams once again? Or will the Americans get their long-sought gold medal? Visit SportsLine to see which side of Canada vs. USA you need to be all over in the women's gold medal game, and see what x-factor tips the scales, all from the expert who's a blistering 39-10 run.